Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000555 0.000640 0.000730 0.000833 0.000947 0.001069 0.001209
2025-04-20 0.000439 0.000558 0.000694 0.000860 0.001056 0.001278 0.001547
2025-04-27 0.000371 0.000505 0.000666 0.000872 0.001123 0.001419 0.001789
2025-05-04 0.000311 0.000452 0.000628 0.000862 0.001159 0.001518 0.001980
2025-05-11 0.000262 0.000403 0.000589 0.000844 0.001177 0.001592 0.002138
2025-05-18 0.000233 0.000378 0.000576 0.000855 0.001231 0.001709 0.002351
2025-05-25 0.000206 0.000352 0.000558 0.000859 0.001272 0.001808 0.002542
2025-06-01 0.000174 0.000315 0.000521 0.000830 0.001268 0.001847 0.002653
2025-06-08 0.000148 0.000282 0.000487 0.000804 0.001262 0.001882 0.002759
2025-06-15 0.000131 0.000263 0.000472 0.000802 0.001290 0.001960 0.002922
2025-06-22 0.000117 0.000247 0.000458 0.000800 0.001317 0.002038 0.003087
2025-06-29 0.000102 0.000228 0.000439 0.000790 0.001330 0.002095 0.003223
2025-07-06 0.000088 0.000209 0.000417 0.000774 0.001334 0.002141 0.003346
2025-07-13 0.000082 0.000203 0.000418 0.000793 0.001392 0.002265 0.003582
2025-07-20 0.000076 0.000195 0.000414 0.000806 0.001439 0.002374 0.003798
2025-07-27 0.000066 0.000181 0.000398 0.000796 0.001451 0.002431 0.003941
2025-08-03 0.000057 0.000166 0.000379 0.000779 0.001450 0.002469 0.004055
2025-08-10 0.000053 0.000160 0.000376 0.000790 0.001494 0.002574 0.004270
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000152 0.000369 0.000793 0.001525 0.002660 0.004458
2025-08-24 0.000040 0.000137 0.000347 0.000766 0.001506 0.002668 0.004529
2025-08-31 0.000034 0.000124 0.000326 0.000742 0.001488 0.002677 0.004601
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000117 0.000318 0.000740 0.001508 0.002745 0.004764
2025-09-14 0.000027 0.000110 0.000310 0.000738 0.001529 0.002815 0.004931